Novara vs Fanfulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
11.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1941 |
NOV
0 - 2
ROM
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1941 |
ROM
2 - 2
NOV
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
BAR
0 - 2
NOV
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
VNZ
3 - 0
NOV
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
NOV
5 - 1
ATL
41%
23%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fanfulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
ROM
6 - 1
FAN
79%
13%
8%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
FOR
2 - 3
FAN
43%
22%
35%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
REG
2 - 3
FAN
87%
9%
5%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
FAN
1 - 2
VIG
44%
22%
34%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |