Novara vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ACM
2 - 1
NOV
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
SOR
0 - 2
NOV
27%
29%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 0
ASF
80%
15%
5%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 2
NOV
23%
28%
49%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 0
ARZ
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
COM
1 - 1
ASS
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 0
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 1
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
COM
0 - 1
USC
20%
26%
53%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SOR
0 - 0
COM
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +1 |