Novara vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
38.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
SSS
1 - 0
NOV
46%
31%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 1
NOV
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
RIM
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
NOV
1 - 2
VIC
36%
30%
33%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
PES
1 - 0
NOV
53%
28%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
PAL
0 - 3
COM
35%
32%
33%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
COM
2 - 0
SSS
70%
22%
8%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
COM
42%
29%
29%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
COM
1 - 0
LEC
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
ATL
1 - 0
COM
41%
31%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |