Novara vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 1
NOV
54%
27%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
BRI
65%
19%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
VIC
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
INT
2 - 0
NOV
85%
11%
5%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
ASC
0 - 0
NOV
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
COM
0 - 1
USA
66%
23%
11%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
ARZ
2 - 2
COM
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
CAG
2 - 2
COM
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
COM
0 - 1
TOR
29%
27%
45%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
COM
1 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |