Novara vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 2
USA
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 0
NOV
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
NAP
1 - 0
NOV
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 1
NOV
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1961 |
NOV
2 - 1
TRI
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
COM
2 - 0
SSS
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
USA
1 - 1
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
COM
0 - 4
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
BRE
3 - 1
COM
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
COM
1 - 1
ACM
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |