Novara vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
BAR
3 - 0
NOV
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
TAR
2 - 0
NOV
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAG
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
ACP
3 - 3
NOV
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
NOV
3 - 0
CAT
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
COM
1 - 1
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
COM
0 - 0
MOD
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
COM
2 - 0
MES
66%
20%
13%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
COM
0 - 0
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |