Novara vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
FIO
1 - 0
NOV
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
NOV
2 - 2
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
ACM
2 - 0
NOV
87%
9%
5%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
SAM
3 - 1
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
NOV
3 - 0
PRO
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
COM
3 - 1
PAL
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
SPA
0 - 0
COM
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1952 |
COM
0 - 1
INT
28%
22%
50%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1952 |
BOL
4 - 2
COM
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1952 |
JUV
0 - 0
COM
88%
8%
4%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |