Novara vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
NOV
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 3
ACM
17%
24%
59%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ACM
2 - 1
NOV
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CES
3 - 1
NOV
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 3
FIO
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 3
LAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
SIE
49%
27%
24%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 2
CHI
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAL
37%
28%
36%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
UDI
1 - 2
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |