Novara vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1971 |
ACM
2 - 0
NOV
84%
12%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
NOV
2 - 1
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1971 |
CES
1 - 1
NOV
51%
29%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
NOV
7 - 1
PIS
51%
29%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
ATL
3 - 1
NOV
58%
27%
15%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
CAT
2 - 0
ASS
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
MAN
2 - 0
CAT
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
CAT
1 - 0
NAP
24%
32%
45%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
TOR
1 - 1
CAT
79%
15%
6%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
CAT
0 - 1
VER
39%
32%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |