Novara vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
FCC
2 - 1
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
MES
2 - 0
NOV
52%
27%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 1
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 2
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAT
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
LEC
2 - 2
CAT
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1960 |
CAT
1 - 1
TRI
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
CAT
4 - 1
VNZ
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
CAT
2 - 0
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |