Novara vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1959 |
NOV
0 - 0
ATL
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
PAL
4 - 0
NOV
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
LEC
1 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1959 |
NOV
0 - 1
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
ACP
4 - 1
NOV
40%
27%
32%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1959 |
CAT
2 - 2
ACP
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
CAT
1 - 0
COM
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAT
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
REG
1 - 0
CAT
62%
21%
16%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
CAT
2 - 1
MES
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |