Novara vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GER
2 - 1
NOV
21%
24%
54%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 1
USA
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NOV
0 - 1
LEO
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 0
ABN
61%
24%
16%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
GOZ
1 - 2
NOV
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
PER
84%
11%
5%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GOZ
1 - 1
CAR
15%
21%
64%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
REN
0 - 0
CAR
32%
28%
41%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 2
OLB
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |