Novara vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
PIZ
1 - 2
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
GEN
1 - 1
NOV
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAL
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CTT
0 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 2
SSS
46%
27%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
PAD
2 - 2
CTT
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAD
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
PAD
1 - 0
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
GIU
1 - 0
PAD
31%
29%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
PAD
2 - 0
PRO
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |