Novara vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
JUV
2 - 2
NOV
78%
13%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
NOV
1 - 1
SPA
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
NOV
2 - 2
ROM
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
BOL
3 - 2
NOV
67%
19%
15%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
NOV
1 - 0
NAP
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
PAD
2 - 1
PRO
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
PAD
2 - 1
GEN
46%
25%
28%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
VIC
0 - 0
PAD
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
PAD
1 - 5
ACM
16%
20%
64%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
FIO
1 - 0
PAD
64%
21%
14%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |