Novara vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CTT
2 - 1
NOV
59%
25%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 0
TER
41%
27%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAD
38%
30%
32%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PRO
1 - 0
NOV
50%
27%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PRO
1 - 0
NOV
48%
27%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASS
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 1
VNZ
37%
30%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAG
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
FOL
4 - 0
LEC
39%
29%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 1
ACL
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |