Novara vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
SSS
0 - 0
NOV
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
NOV
0 - 0
COM
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
BAR
3 - 0
NOV
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
TAR
2 - 0
NOV
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAG
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
LEC
2 - 1
PAL
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 0
MES
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
COM
1 - 1
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAG
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
SSS
2 - 1
LEC
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |