Novara vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
MOD
2 - 1
NOV
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
ASS
40%
30%
30%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAL
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
NOV
64%
24%
13%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 1
COM
31%
30%
39%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
CAG
1 - 0
SSS
73%
20%
8%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
CAG
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
ASC
1 - 1
CAG
45%
29%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
CAG
1 - 1
ASS
67%
22%
11%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 1
CAG
44%
29%
27%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |