Novara vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
ASS
1 - 2
NOV
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ACM
0 - 2
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 1
TRI
45%
26%
28%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
VER
0 - 2
NOV
76%
16%
9%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
LEC
2 - 0
NOV
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
CAG
0 - 1
TAR
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
CAG
5 - 2
FCC
50%
25%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
LEC
0 - 0
CAG
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
ACM
2 - 0
CAG
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
CAG
1 - 1
MOD
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |