Novara vs Brindisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
VIC
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
INT
2 - 0
NOV
85%
11%
5%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
ASC
0 - 0
NOV
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
SPA
57%
26%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
BRI
0 - 0
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brindisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
BRI
2 - 0
ASC
41%
24%
36%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
BRI
1 - 2
INT
17%
24%
60%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
VIC
3 - 3
BRI
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
BRI
40%
30%
30%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
BRI
0 - 0
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |