Novara vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
24.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
NOV
1 - 1
VAR
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
CAT
3 - 2
NOV
52%
31%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
NOV
1 - 2
TER
49%
31%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
TAR
3 - 0
NOV
55%
28%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
ASC
35%
31%
34%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
PAL
2 - 2
BRE
51%
30%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
BRE
3 - 0
RIM
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
PES
2 - 2
BRE
65%
23%
12%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
BRE
2 - 2
COM
35%
30%
36%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
ATL
2 - 0
BRE
65%
25%
11%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |