Novara vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
NOV
2 - 0
CES
54%
29%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
TAR
2 - 1
NOV
42%
32%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 1
USF
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 3
ASC
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
COM
0 - 1
NOV
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 1
BRE
54%
29%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
BRE
2 - 0
VAR
46%
31%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
BAR
2 - 1
BRE
54%
29%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
BRE
0 - 0
REG
65%
24%
12%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
PRG
2 - 0
BRE
44%
33%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |