Novara vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
PAL
0 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
FCC
2 - 0
NOV
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 0
REG
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
USA
5 - 0
NOV
67%
19%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1960 |
BRE
4 - 1
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1960 |
TRI
1 - 0
BRE
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
SSS
1 - 1
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
BRE
5 - 4
VIC
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
BRE
3 - 1
MAN
50%
22%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |