Novara vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1960 |
NOV
3 - 1
CAT
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
FCC
2 - 1
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
MES
2 - 0
NOV
52%
27%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 1
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
SSS
0 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1960 |
BRE
0 - 2
TOR
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
ACM
0 - 0
BRE
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1960 |
BRE
3 - 0
TAR
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
CAT
2 - 0
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |