Novara vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
ACM
0 - 0
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
NOV
1 - 1
VNZ
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
VER
3 - 1
NOV
47%
25%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
NOV
0 - 0
TAR
75%
15%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
NOV
2 - 1
SSS
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
BRE
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1957 |
SSS
2 - 1
BRE
45%
25%
31%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
BRE
2 - 2
PRO
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
ACM
1 - 0
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
BRE
1 - 0
USA
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |