Novara vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
INT
0 - 1
NOV
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAG
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 2
CHI
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 0
NOV
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 3
ACM
17%
24%
59%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
GEN
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
LEC
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 1
ATL
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
JUV
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |