Novara vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
32.2%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.2%
32.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1971 |
NOV
2 - 0
PRG
46%
31%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
REG
1 - 1
NOV
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
PAL
0 - 0
NOV
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
NOV
0 - 0
ARZ
54%
28%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
NOV
0 - 0
TAR
51%
29%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
ATL
1 - 0
TAR
64%
24%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
ATL
3 - 1
REG
56%
26%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
COM
1 - 4
ATL
46%
29%
25%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
ATL
3 - 0
PIS
57%
26%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
ATL
1 - 1
PAL
53%
28%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |