Novara vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1959 |
PAL
4 - 0
NOV
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
LEC
1 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1959 |
NOV
0 - 1
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
ACP
4 - 1
NOV
40%
27%
32%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAR
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1959 |
SSS
2 - 1
ATL
32%
28%
41%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAT
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
MES
2 - 2
ATL
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
ATL
1 - 1
ASS
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1959 |
ATL
1 - 2
TOR
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |