Novara vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
GEN
2 - 0
NOV
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
NOV
3 - 4
ACM
22%
21%
56%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1955 |
LAZ
2 - 0
NOV
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1955 |
NOV
1 - 2
SAM
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
TRI
0 - 0
NOV
48%
24%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1956 |
ATL
3 - 0
VIC
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1955 |
ROM
3 - 2
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1955 |
ATL
4 - 1
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1955 |
INT
1 - 2
ATL
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |