Novara vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
LAZ
1 - 1
NOV
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
NOV
1 - 1
ACM
24%
23%
53%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
PRO
0 - 0
NOV
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
NOV
2 - 1
NAP
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1955 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAT
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
ATL
4 - 0
CAT
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
ATL
5 - 1
FIO
46%
25%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
ROM
0 - 0
ATL
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
TRI
3 - 1
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
ATL
1 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |