Novara vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
UDI
1 - 1
NOV
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
NOV
1 - 1
TOR
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
LAZ
2 - 1
NOV
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
NOV
1 - 1
ACM
32%
24%
44%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
SPA
2 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 0
GEN
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
ROM
0 - 0
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
INT
3 - 1
ATL
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
ATL
1 - 3
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |