Novara vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
INT
5 - 0
NOV
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
PAD
1 - 2
NOV
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
NOV
0 - 1
FIO
46%
24%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
NOV
3 - 1
JUV
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
ASL
2 - 2
NOV
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
ATL
0 - 5
ASL
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
ACM
3 - 3
ATL
88%
8%
4%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
ATL
2 - 1
COM
53%
22%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
INT
3 - 1
ATL
84%
10%
6%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
ATL
0 - 0
ROM
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |