Novara vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
TOR
5 - 1
NOV
72%
16%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
NOV
1 - 1
ROM
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
TRI
1 - 0
NOV
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
NOV
0 - 0
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
INT
0 - 0
NOV
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
ATL
4 - 0
NAP
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
GEN
2 - 0
ATL
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ATL
3 - 0
JUV
34%
25%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ATL
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
ATL
0 - 0
FIO
51%
22%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |