Novara vs ASD Asti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.6%
3%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 0
SNR
76%
16%
9%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 5
COM
37%
27%
37%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
OLB
3 - 3
NOV
38%
26%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 2
PIS
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 3
NOV
45%
27%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
ASD Asti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ACS
2 - 0
AST
35%
22%
42%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |