Novara vs ACO Liguria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
NAP
2 - 1
NOV
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
NOV
2 - 0
VNZ
40%
22%
38%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
JUV
1 - 0
NOV
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
NOV
0 - 0
BOL
26%
25%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1939 |
NOV
1 - 0
BAR
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
ACL
0 - 0
LAZ
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1939 |
ACM
1 - 1
ACL
62%
20%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
ACL
2 - 1
GEN
35%
24%
42%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1939 |
FIO
4 - 0
ACL
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1939 |
ACL
2 - 1
TOR
43%
24%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |