Novara vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
NOV
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
1 - 1
JUS
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CES
1 - 4
NOV
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 2
EMP
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
NOV
35%
27%
39%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SPE
0 - 2
SAS
28%
28%
43%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
2 - 0
SPE
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SPE
3 - 1
BRE
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
SPE
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 1
VIC
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |