Novara vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
NOV
1 - 0
ROM
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
NOV
2 - 1
FAN
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1941 |
NOV
0 - 2
ROM
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1941 |
ROM
2 - 2
NOV
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
BAR
0 - 2
NOV
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
SPE
4 - 0
FIU
30%
22%
47%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1941 |
SPE
2 - 5
LAZ
39%
24%
38%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
FIU
0 - 1
SPE
78%
13%
9%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
SPE
1 - 0
ANC
86%
9%
5%
|
61 | 26 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1940 |
SPE
4 - 3
PIS
57%
20%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |