Novara vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
30.7%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.7%
34%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
AVE
2 - 1
NOV
58%
26%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAG
29%
30%
42%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
MOD
2 - 1
NOV
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
ASS
40%
30%
30%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
NOV
1 - 1
PAL
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
ASC
0 - 0
PES
51%
29%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASC
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
ASC
0 - 0
RIM
66%
23%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
COM
4 - 0
ASC
54%
27%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
ASC
1 - 1
CAG
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |