Novara vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 2
NOV
44%
32%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
ARZ
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
PAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
NOV
2 - 2
COM
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 0
REG
75%
18%
7%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
BRI
1 - 1
ASC
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 1
ATL
60%
25%
15%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
ASC
0 - 0
VAR
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
TER
2 - 2
ASC
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |