Novara vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1973 |
COM
0 - 1
NOV
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
NOV
5 - 3
ASS
60%
25%
15%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 1
NOV
36%
32%
32%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
NOV
1 - 0
BAR
58%
27%
16%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1973 |
ASC
3 - 1
ARZ
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
BRE
1 - 1
ASC
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
REG
0 - 0
ASC
27%
28%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
ASC
4 - 1
ASS
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
PRG
1 - 0
ASC
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |