Novara vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
CAT
3 - 2
NOV
52%
31%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
NOV
1 - 2
TER
49%
31%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
TAR
3 - 0
NOV
55%
28%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
NOV
0 - 0
ASC
35%
31%
34%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
AVE
2 - 1
NOV
58%
26%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPA
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
RIM
1 - 0
VAR
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 1
SSS
63%
25%
13%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
PAL
0 - 0
VAR
35%
29%
35%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
ATL
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |