Novara vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ASC
1 - 2
NOV
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 1
PAR
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 0
NOV
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 0
NOV
10%
19%
72%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 2
PIA
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
CTT
1 - 1
PRG
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FRO
2 - 1
CTT
53%
24%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CTT
3 - 2
ASC
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BOL
0 - 3
CTT
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CTT
2 - 1
ABN
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |