Novara vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
11%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
REG
1 - 1
NOV
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAD
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
NOV
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
SIE
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 1
NOV
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CTT
0 - 2
JUS
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CTT
0 - 0
LAT
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
2 - 0
CTT
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CTT
2 - 2
TER
50%
27%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 0
CTT
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |