Novara vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.6%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
18%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
NOV
2 - 1
PRG
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
TAR
0 - 0
NOV
41%
32%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
NOV
0 - 0
TER
58%
26%
16%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
ASC
2 - 0
NOV
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAT
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 0
COM
47%
31%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
SPA
1 - 0
BAR
64%
24%
12%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 0
TAR
52%
28%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
TER
2 - 0
BAR
61%
26%
13%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 1
ARZ
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |