Novara vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.9%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
28.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOV
48%
31%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
NOV
1 - 0
ASS
42%
31%
27%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
MAS
1 - 2
NOV
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
NOV
2 - 1
MAN
38%
35%
27%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1970 |
ASS
0 - 0
NOV
60%
21%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
BAR
2 - 0
CES
61%
25%
14%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
ARZ
0 - 0
BAR
31%
30%
39%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
BAR
0 - 0
ATL
51%
28%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
PRG
1 - 2
BAR
39%
32%
30%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
BAR
3 - 0
REG
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |