Novara vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
23.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
NOV
3 - 1
REG
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
PAD
0 - 0
NOV
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAL
50%
29%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
NOV
0 - 0
POT
52%
27%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
VNZ
1 - 1
NOV
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
LEC
1 - 1
BAR
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
BAR
4 - 0
REG
54%
26%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1967 |
BAR
2 - 0
LIV
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
GEN
2 - 0
BAR
58%
24%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
BAR
1 - 2
REG
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |