Novara vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1936 |
TOR
4 - 1
NOV
78%
13%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1936 |
NOV
1 - 2
ASL
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
USA
1 - 3
NOV
72%
16%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
NOV
3 - 5
INT
13%
20%
67%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
SAM
2 - 1
NOV
65%
19%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1936 |
BAR
4 - 0
TRI
46%
24%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1936 |
FIO
1 - 0
BAR
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
BAR
1 - 0
GEN
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
BOL
2 - 2
BAR
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
BAR
1 - 1
JUV
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |