Novara vs Sangiovannese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
VNZ
2 - 0
NOV
60%
24%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
NOV
3 - 1
GRO
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 1
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
NOV
0 - 0
MAS
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CTT
2 - 2
NOV
52%
26%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
PIZ
1 - 1
ACS
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ACS
3 - 1
USI
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
PAV
2 - 1
ACS
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ACS
2 - 1
PAD
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
PRO
3 - 1
ACS
47%
27%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |