Novara vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOV
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAT
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
MES
0 - 1
NOV
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 0
BAR
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
NOV
3 - 1
REG
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
REG
2 - 2
PAL
49%
30%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
GEN
1 - 1
REG
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
REG
4 - 2
PRG
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
REG
0 - 0
VER
47%
29%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
ASS
0 - 1
REG
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |