Novara vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
23.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
VAR
0 - 0
NOV
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
NOV
0 - 2
SAM
25%
29%
46%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
NOV
3 - 2
REG
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 0
CAT
39%
29%
32%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
REG
1 - 0
REG
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1967 |
REG
0 - 1
POT
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
SAM
1 - 2
REG
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
REG
1 - 0
PAD
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
SAV
4 - 2
REG
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |