Novara vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
USA
5 - 0
NOV
67%
19%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
COM
2 - 2
NOV
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
NOV
2 - 0
TAR
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
CAT
3 - 1
NOV
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
SSS
2 - 1
REG
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
COM
3 - 1
REG
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
REG
1 - 0
ASS
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
MES
1 - 0
REG
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
REG
0 - 2
LEC
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |